High Tide Flooding Outlook for October 2023

Coastal Flooding Predictions for October 2023

NOAA is predicting extreme tides at the end of October in many locations around the country, especially the eastern seaboard. While only Fort Pulaski, GA is predicted to “likely” flood this month, there are many harbors where high tide flooding is possible, and several locations in Virginia and Texas are expected to see likelihood of flooding for the ENTIRE month! The Pacific states will also see potential high-tide flooding this October, although they were likely spared in September. NOAA does not seem to have any predictions for Alaska at this point.

It is important to note that these predictions do not account for real-time weather conditions. Severe weather may cause flooding outside of dates predicted. To see water levels in real-time and track storms, visit NOAA’s Coastal Inundation Dashboard.

About these Predictions: “These flooding likelihoods are derived from a probabilistic model that incorporates tide predictions, sea level rise trends, and seasonal changes in coastal sea level to predict the potential that a higher than normal high tide may exceed established National Ocean Service flood thresholds. During these periods, high tide flooding may occur in flood-prone areas.” NOAA

Northeast: Possible Flood Days

Maine:

• Portland, ME — October 28-30
• Bar Harbor, ME — October 28-30

Massachusetts:

• Boston, MA — October 28-30

Rhode Island: 

• Newport, RI — October 27-30
• Providence, RI — October 27-30

Connecticut: 

• Bridgeport — October 27-30

Mid-Atlantic: Possible Flood Days

New York: 

• New York City, The Battery, NY — October 3, and 26-31
• Bergen Point, West Reach, NY — October 3, and 26-31
• Kings Point, Long Island, NY — October 17,18 and 26-31

New Jersey: 

• Sandy Hook, NJ — October 3, and 26-31
• Atlantic City, NJ — October 3, and 26-31
• Cape May, NJ — October 3, and 26-31

Delaware: 

• Lewes, DE — October 3-4, 16-18, and 27-31

Maryland:

• Wachapreague, MD — October 3-4, 14-18, and 26-31
• Kiptopeke, MD — October 3-4, 14-18, and 26-31

Virginia:

• Lewisetta, VA — ALL of October!!!
• Windmill Point, VA — ALL of October, except for Oct 7-9
• Norfolk (Sewalls Point), VA — ALL of October, except for Oct 6-11

Southeast: Possible Flood Days

North Carolina:

• Duck, NC — October 3-4, 25-19, and 26-31
• Beaufort (Duke Marine Lab), NC — October 28-30

South Carolina:

• Myrtle Beach (Springmaid Pier), SC — October 27-31
• Charleston, SC — October 27-31

Georgia:

• Savannah (Fort Pulaski), GA — October 3, and 27-31, with likely flooding on Oct. 29

Florida (Atlantic Coast):

• Miami, Biscayne Bay, FL — October 27-30
• Cape Canaveral, FL — October 3, and 27-31
• Mayport, FL — October 27-31
• Fernandina Beach, FL — October 27-31

Gulf Coast: Possible Flood Days

Florida (Gulf Coast):

• Pensacola, FL — October 21, and 31
• Cedar Key, FL — October 3-4, 19, and,31

Alabama:

• Dauphin Island, AL — October 4-5, 17-22, and 30-31