Weather Alerts
Hurricane Watch issued October 7 at 5:31PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
* WHAT...Northeast winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 70 kt and
seas 16 to 21 ft.
* WHERE...Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine
FL out 20 NM, Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
Beach FL out 20 NM, Waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM and Waters from St. Augustine to
Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.
* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from Wednesday
evening until Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...Hurricane force winds and hazardous seas can capsize
or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility.
Flood Watch issued October 7 at 5:49PM EDT until October 10 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.
* WHERE...Portions of Florida, including the following areas, Baker,
Bradford, Central Marion, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal
Nassau, Coastal St. Johns, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Clay, Eastern
Marion, Eastern Putnam, Gilchrist, Inland Flagler, Inland Nassau,
Inland St. Johns, Northern Columbia, South Central Duval,
Southeastern Columbia, Southwestern Columbia, Suwannee, Trout
River, Union, Western Alachua, Western Clay, Western Duval,
Western Marion and Western Putnam and southeast Georgia, including
the following areas, Coastal Camden, Coastal Glynn, Inland Camden,
Inland Glynn, Northeastern Charlton, Southern Ware and Western
Charlton.
* WHEN...Through Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Around 5 to 10 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts
is forecast.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Rip Current Statement issued October 7 at 5:27PM EDT until October 8 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida Beaches.
* WHEN...Through Tuesday evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
Tropical Cyclone Statement issued October 7 at 5:23PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
HLSJAX
This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia
**TROPICAL WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA**
**STORM SURGE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST AND THE ST JOHNS
RIVER BASIN**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
for Central Marion, Eastern Marion, and Western Marion
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Gilchrist, Southwestern Columbia, Suwannee, and
Western Alachua
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for
Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St.
Johns, Eastern Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland St. Johns, and
South Central Duval
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
for Coastal Camden and Coastal Glynn
- A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Inland Flagler, Inland
Nassau, Trout River, Western Clay, Western Duval, and Western
Putnam
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Baker, Bradford,
Brantley, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Hamilton, Inland Camden,
Inland Glynn, Northeastern Charlton, Northern Columbia,
Southeastern Columbia, Union, Wayne, Western Charlton, and
Western Hamilton
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Central Marion, Eastern
Marion, and Western Marion
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Gilchrist,
Southwestern Columbia, Suwannee, and Western Alachua
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St.
Johns, Eastern Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland St. Johns, and
South Central Duval
- A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
Coastal Camden and Coastal Glynn
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Inland Flagler, Inland
Nassau, Trout River, Western Clay, Western Duval, and Western
Putnam
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baker, Bradford,
Brantley, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Hamilton, Inland Camden,
Inland Glynn, Northeastern Charlton, Northern Columbia,
Southeastern Columbia, Union, Wayne, Western Charlton, and
Western Hamilton
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 830 miles southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 740 miles
southwest of Ocala FL
- 21.8N 90.8W
- Storm Intensity 180 mph
- Movement East or 90 degrees at 10 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Milton is now a category 5 hurricane in the southern Gulf
of Mexico. Milton will continue to move eastward and is predicted to
make landfall along the west coast of Florida sometime Wednesday
evening. Milton is forecast to maintain hurricane strength as it moves
across the Florida Peninsula Wednesday night.
Tropical storm force wind gusts are expected to begin by early
Wednesday morning across northeast Florida. Overall, sustained
tropical storm force winds are forecast for most of northeast Florida
and the southeast Georgia coast, with frequent hurricane force gusts
possible along the coast and St. Johns river basin.
Storm surge inundation of 3 to 5 feet is expected along the northeast
Florida and southeast Georgia Atlantic coasts and near 2 to 4 feet
in the St Johns River basin.
Isolated tornadoes are possible within the outer rainbands Wednesday
through Wednesday night over portions of northeast Florida, including
Marion, Putnam, Flagler, and St. Johns counties.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts, are
expected across most of northeast Florida and the southeast Georgia
coast, with up to 2 to 4 inches forecast over most of inland southeast
Georgia. With already saturated grounds, flash flooding will be
possible mainly across northeast Florida and the southeast Georgia
coast beginning Tuesday night.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across northeast Florida and portions of southeast Georgia. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across inland southeast Georgia.
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across northeast Florida and southeast Georgia Atlantic coast
and the St. Johns River Basin. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across most of northeast Florida and coastal southeast
Georgia. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to
significant impacts across inland southeast Georgia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.
Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.
When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.
Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.
Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 1130 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
Hurricane Watch issued October 7 at 5:09PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
A Hurricane Watch means hurricane-force winds are possible somewhere
within this area within the next 48 hours
A Storm Surge Watch means life-threatening inundation, from rising
water moving inland from the coastline, is possible somewhere within
this area within the next 48 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Arlington
- Jacksonville
- Jacksonville Beach
- Oceanway
- Tallyrand
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Thursday
morning until Thursday afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be
rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Wednesday morning until Friday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Storm surge flooding preparations should be
underway. Assemble disaster supplies and know your
evacuation route.
- ACT: Leave if evacuation orders are given for your area.
Failure to heed evacuation orders may result in the loss of
your life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated
by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the
coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
become weakened or washed out, especially in usually
vulnerable low spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong
and numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 6-10 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family Emergency Plans (FEMA): http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/jax/
Storm Surge Watch issued October 7 at 5:09PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
A Hurricane Watch means hurricane-force winds are possible somewhere
within this area within the next 48 hours
A Storm Surge Watch means life-threatening inundation, from rising
water moving inland from the coastline, is possible somewhere within
this area within the next 48 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Arlington
- Jacksonville
- Jacksonville Beach
- Oceanway
- Tallyrand
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Thursday
morning until Thursday afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be
rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Wednesday morning until Friday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Storm surge flooding preparations should be
underway. Assemble disaster supplies and know your
evacuation route.
- ACT: Leave if evacuation orders are given for your area.
Failure to heed evacuation orders may result in the loss of
your life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated
by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the
coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
become weakened or washed out, especially in usually
vulnerable low spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong
and numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 6-10 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family Emergency Plans (FEMA): http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/jax/